New housing supply by branded players rises in last 4 years – 56% share of overall new supply in 2018 (against 41% in 2015).Affordable supply by a leading brand increased 60% in Q4 2018 against previous year. Significant rise in consolidated net profit of listed realty players; goes as high as 76% in Q4 FY19. Prashant Thakur, Director & Head – Research, ANAROCK Property Consultants, writes.
What’s in a name? For Indian homebuyers and investors today – a lot. In metros as well as tier 2 and tier 3 cities, a real estate developer’s brand name wields considerable clout.
Real estate players with high-recall brands have upped their game and accounted for a whopping 56% share of the total housing supply in 2018. There has been a y-o-y rise in their share since 2015, when their share of the supply stood at 41%.
‘Branded’ developers are not necessarily only listed players. Real estate developers who have been operating for a decade and more, newly-formed entities of large conglomerates, and also those with sizeable areas under development either locally or Pan-India, are now recognized as branded developers.
Most of these companies’ new supply is no longer limited to the premium and luxury segments. They have spread themselves across the high-demand affordable and mid segments (comfortably priced within a budget not exceeding INR 80 lakh).
In retail, we now see several high-value designer clothing brands launching relatively more affordable apparel lines for ‘non-elite’ customers. In real estate, the middle class – that fairly wide bandwidth between the upper and working classes – is calling the shots. This is where end-user demand is thickest, investors follow end-user demand, and developers are falling in line.
Several factors are involved in the increasing prominence of branded developers:
Indian brand consciousness
India is among the top 3 most brand-conscious nations globally. No longer restricted to the super-affluent class, brands have found resonance across the Indian consumer value chain. The Indian consumer’s quest for branded products spans almost all products from fashion, gadgets, cosmetics and toiletries – and now even homes.
The aspirational value attached to high-recall brands is not merely a quest for status. As with clothing and gadgets, well-known developer brands are known to deliver much more in terms of design, specifications, overall quality and after-sales service than their generic counterparts.
Homes built by such branded developers convey the assurance of having invested in the right product. Not only do they provide better durability and a superior living experience, they also yield better returns in terms of rental income as well as capital appreciation.
‘Prime’ affordable locations
Highly-established developers are known to conduct careful research on their locations and are therefore able to pinpoint the most happening growth corridors. They know what product works best, and where it works best. While end-users are assured that they are buying into a well-researched area, this fact also ‘raises the bottom’ for investors who are looking for the right product to back.
Moreover, established developers are better capitalized and have the financial capability to acquire sizeable land parcels for developing townships and gated communities in areas where smaller players have to be satisfied with smaller plots. In fact, smaller players are known to ‘follow the leader’ precisely for this reason.
Govt. policies dictate the market
DeMo, RERA and GST put a hard leash on unregulated practices – and their practitioners – in the Indian real estate. Small developers were particularly impacted. Low sales, lack of capital in hand and zero weightage with private equity funds caused several smaller developers to either exit or court consolidation via mergers, acquisitions, and joint developments with larger organised players.
Post DeMo. the share of new launches by non-branded players fell to 48% in 2017 from 58% in the previous year. Their share has been on a steady decline ever since.
Out of the total housing supply across the top 7 cities in 2015, branded players had a 41% share while the remaining 59% homes were by unbranded developers. By the end of 2018, the overall share of large branded players rose to 56% of the total supply of approx. 1,95,300 units.
Reduced ‘brand dilution’ perception
Most top branded developers have moved beyond their previously unwavering focus on luxury or ultra-luxury housing and now include the affordable and mid-income segments in their portfolios. The incumbent Government has raised the stature of these segments from ‘down market’ to ‘respectable’- and even patriotic – via various sops, incentives, schemes and a very clear message to the real estate market.
Most large players are looking to significantly increase their overall supply in these segments and have sharply reduced their supply in the luxury and ultra-luxury segments.
Prestige Estates brought its premium housing supply down from 2.02 mn sq. ft. in Q4 2018 to 1.11 mn sq. ft. in Q4 2018. Concurrently, it launched nearly 5 mn sq. ft. space in the mid segment (<80 lakh budget) in Q4 2018 – as opposed to 4.27 mn sq. ft. the previous year.
Puravankara’s affordable luxury brand Provident Housing increased its new supply in Q4 2018 jump to 10.59 mn sq. ft. as against 6.63 mn sq. ft. a year ago. Meanwhile, its premium offerings under Puravankara brand saw a 5% decline over the same period.
Based on its affordable supply, Bangalore-based Sobha Ltd. saw sales increase to 2.9 mn sq. ft. in Q4 2018 against 2.61 mn sq. ft. a year ago. Their average price realization also dropped during the same period – from INR 7,853 per sq. ft. to INR 7,592 per sq. ft.
Other leading builders to join the affordable housing fray include Embassy Group and Brigade Enterprises, among several others.
Affordable housing dominates real estate sales in 2019
As per ANAROCK data, the first quarter of 2019 saw housing sales increase by 58% against the corresponding period in 2018. The highest sale rate was in the affordable and mid-income segments. Unsurprisingly, branded players – having the highest share of new launches – reported a surge in their net profits in Q4 FY19 due to higher sales and better realisation.
Brigade Enterprises sold approx. 0.96 mn sq. ft. space in Q4 FY19 (worth INR 520 crore) – a 23% increase over Q3 FY19 (when their net profit was INR 72.05 crore).
Sobha Ltd. reported 63% surge in its net profit against previous year which stood at INR 113 crore as on Q4 FY19.
Realty major DLF also saw 76% jump in its consolidated net profit to INR 436.56 crore during the same period while its sales booking more than doubled against last FY.
Puravankara Ltd. also reported 59% rise in its consolidated net profit at INR 39 crore during the same period. Its Provident Housing brand contributed58% of sales by value in FY19.
Having tasted success with their new affordable offerings, these leading brands will now focus even more sharply on this category, and less on luxury or premium homes. The luxury segment is now primarily end-user driven, and most real estate investors are now focusing on the segments that hold the highest profit potential.
Supply follows demand – and in real estate, supply definitely chases investor demand because investors often buy several units at once. In short, Affordable is the New Black – and the biggest brand magnet that the Indian real estate sector has seen in several decades.
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