Ever since the beginning of the year 2023, the real estate industry stakeholders are going gaga with the narrative of a turnaround year. It is not that such misplaced optimism has not hurt their cause in the past, but the leading voices of the sector seem to believe that a false narrative would goad the home buyers to make a beeline at the sales office. The industry narrative is hence tilted towards what could easily be vouchsafed as misplaced optimism.
The Union Budget this time would be the last full budget ahead of the General Elections due next year. The real estate sector is yet again parroting the old demands, with the only difference being that the concerns of the home buyers too finds a place in their wish list. The developers have come to realise that the home buyers can no longer be ignored as they are the most necessary in the real estate business cycle.
The outlook for construction costs remains stable but cautious, as market volatility is likely to persist in 2023 along with monetary tightening, continued high inflation, a possibility of a recession in developed economies and geopolitical turmoil-related challenges going forward. Therefore, CBRE forecasts a marginal rise in the overall construction costs during 2023 across cities, with Mumbai likely to witness a sharper rise.
The Indian real estate has been known to dole out discounts & freebies every festive season to reap the auspicious spirit. It worked well for the sector for quite some time as the Indians are traditionally known to buy property during the festivals. However, the slowdown in the last five years made the marketing strategists look for alternative ways & means to bring the buyers back to the property market during the festive season. Track2Realty analyses the market trend.
The reports of Adani Realty merger with DB Realty has taken market analysts by surprise. According to the sources close to the developments, this is Adani’s bid to get into listed realty companies’ portfolio. However, the larger question that only Adani Realty can answer is that to what extent would the giant carry over the baggage of the tainted DB Realty. The memories of Godrej Properties announcement to join hands and getting market backlash of shareholders are still fresh in public memory. A Track2Realty analysis.
Freedom is a luxury and it means different things to different set of people. The stakeholders within the built environment of the Indian real estate too have their own set of definition when it comes to what defines their freedom. While for a home buyer, freedom is to have a rent-free house of one’s own at an affordable price, for the developers the quest has been freedom from multiple bottlenecks – single window clearance, industry status, easy funding and, most importantly, FSI free developments. Track2Realty investigates whether ‘Freedom From FSI’ would be boon or bane.
Just when the real estate industry bodies had firmed up their public posturing to halt construction with allegation of cartelisation by the cement & steel producers, there was uneasiness at the developers’ end. Many of them had their back of the envelope calculation as to whether the construction strike would actually help or hurt the business. Track2Realty tries to get into the depth of the issue.
2022 won’t be an easy year for the average Indian home buyer in terms of making a conscious decision of buying a house. The fundamentals of the market and macroeconomic outlook indicates 2022 could be even more challenging than 2021 for more than one reason. The rising input cost of construction has put a serious question mark over the feasibility of the business in a price sensitive market. Many of the developers with thin profit margins are facing a catch-22 where the input cost hike is compelling for escalation but the demand side is not ready to absorb the hike.
Within the built environment of the Indian real estate there is still denial about too many parallels between the Indian and the Chinese real estate. Many even believe that the Indian economy is not that real estate dependent as the Chinese economy. Even when admitting the crisis in Indian real estate, it is diplomatically wrapped in the developer’s justification of not learning any lessons on part of the Indian developers.
2021 was expected to be the year of recovery for the Indian real estate that weathered the black swan of Covid in the preceding year. Throughout the year the developers put up a brave face and the industry data of the top listed developers was enough to keep the prophets of doomsday in silence. However, the closer look at the sector and the large universe of the developers raises more questions than what it could answer during the turbulent year. Track2Realty looks in to look ahead.